Monday, December 28, 2009

Forget the Horses; Save Those Barns!

Powerful forces gather off America, looking to unleash terror and destruction onto unprotected civilian populations. How should we respond?

One way to respond is to coordinate Federal and State authorities and resources to ameliorate the destruction after it has occurred, tend to the survivors, and clean up the mess. The other response is to meet those forces where they gather before they hit our shores and prevent the ensuing carnage altogether.

In the case of a Hurricane Katrina off the American coastline, the amelioration response is the only option we have. In the case of radical Jihadist attacks, to wait until the damage is done before responding is madness. And yet, this is just what the Obama Administration is doing.

How else to interpret Homeland Security Chief Janet Napolitano's confident assertions this weekend that the security system of the United States "worked" in the case of the attempted Christmas day bombing attempt on the Northwest Airlines flight over Detroit?

Continue ....


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Wednesday, December 23, 2009

We're INTERPOL and We're Here to Help

Breaking news, Readers. Read this. Then read this.

Got it? Under cover of the loud kerfuffle of a major Healthcare debate, your President quietly signed an Executive Order granting INTERPOL, the International Criminal Police Organization, full diplomatic immunity in the United States. This means INTERPOL is now a sort of Super Cop on American shores. With full immunity, they can go anywhere, do anything, collect and store whatever information they desire, and are not subject to anyone's oversight, authority, freedom of information requests, prosecution, or judicial restraint of any sort at any time.

In short, the Constitutional search and seizure protections of all American citizens are not applicable against INTERPOL agents within the United States.

What possible reason would our President have for granting such extraordinary status to a foreign police force in America? For starters, read this. That's a Wall Street Journal article informing us that the International Criminal Court's Chief Prosecutor opened up a file in November, 2009 on possible U.S. War Crimes in Afghanistan. And this tells us that INTERPOL assists the "Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court" in its fight against War Crimes, including the sharing of any and all information it may have. It appears, then, that our President desires to help the local INTERPOL office as it collects information on American citizens for possible prosecution for War Crimes. That is, it appears this is so, but we can't know for sure because President Obama has immunized INTERPOL from being forced to divulge just what it is up to.

Continue .....


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Harry Reid Can't Hide from Sarah Palin

Harry Reid tried to hide behind 2,000 some pages of dense, deadly dull legislation, but Sarah Palin spotted him skulking around the Senate and bagged herself a bunch of Democrats up to no good.

It seems the Senator slipped into the National Healthcare legislation on page 1,000 or so an unelected regulatory commission that would have near omniscient control over the quality and extent of everyone's healthcare. In other words, a "Death Panel." But he also inserted an outrageous provision prohibiting any Congressional oversight or control of any kind over this Death Panel. That's right, the Death Panel would be like, I don't know, a separate country or something and not subject to Congress' jurisdiction. Here is an exact quote from the bill:

it shall not be in order in the Senate or the House of Representatives to consider any bill, resolution, amendment, or conference report that would repeal or otherwise change this subsection.
You can't make this stuff up.

It's all a procedural trick of course, as explained here. Especially so as, under the Constitution, future Senate bodies can change by a simple majority vote most things a previous Senate passes, including this provision. So, this trick is rather lame as these things go.

But, Harry Reid, et al., deserve to be slapped down for even trying such a thing, and they don't slap 'em down much better than our Sarah. Here is one salient point she makes:
Though Nancy Pelosi and friends have tried to call “death panels” the “lie of the year,” this type of rationing – what the CBO calls “reduc[ed] access to care” and “diminish[ed] quality of care” – is precisely what I meant when I used that metaphor.
Read it all here.


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Saturday, December 19, 2009

Buy This Christmas Card
and Make Ours a Merry Christmas!

And finally, a card for the ladies!





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Buy This Christmas Card
and Make Ours a Merry Christmas!




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Buy This Christmas Card
and Make Ours a Merry Christmas!



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Friday, December 18, 2009

Buy This Christmas Card
and Make Ours a Merry Christmas!



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Buy This Christmas Card
and Make Ours a Merry Christmas!



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Thursday, December 17, 2009

Son of a Burns

Larry Kudlow all but calls today for Ben Bernanke to resign as Fed Chairman. He states that " ... Bernanke (as Fed chairman) has provided unbelievable, ultra-easy, free-money, zero interest rates for too long ... Bernanke knows how to ease but not how to tighten. The emergency is long past, but he is still operating an emergency policy of ultra-easy, excess-dollar creation."

These are good points. However, the real reason Bernanke should resign (or the Senate should refuse to re-confirm him) is that he is completely politicized. Ever since the near hyper-inflation of the 70's, begun by Richard Nixon's obsequious Fed Chairman, Arthur Burns, our heads of the Federal Reserve have studiously maintained the independence of Federal Reserve policy from political machinations of the White House. The result has been almost 20 some years of little to no inflation and unremitting economic expansion.

Bernanke has broken with that tradition, and as a result, our Republic is heading for economic disaster. And the truth is, he did it simply because he is not a strong man. Can anyone believe that Alan Greenspan in his prime would have rolled over to the demands of the doyens of the financial markets and the White House as Bernanke has done? The dollar collapses like a pair of cheap socks and yet Mr. Bernanke is cowering in his office, afraid of raising interest rates even a point above absolute zero.

What is he afraid of? A strong dollar, which is the only thing he really can control (as opposed to employment and macro-economic activity), would serve to stabilize the financial markets and reassure a world eager to buy into the safety of American assets. Shouldn't those achievements be enough for an unelected head of a quasi-government bureaucracy?

Apparently not. Instead, he channels the fears of the White House that this recession won't end before the 2010 elections, and vainly keeps pumping printing press money into the economy, hoping for an economic "bubble" that will protect the incumbents in Washington.

Well, bubbles burst, as they did in 2000 and 2006, and this one will, too, almost as soon as it appears. We need to be shut of this weak-sister of a Fed Chairman well before the bursting, so that the hard and necessary monetary policies can then be instituted.


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Re: Iranian Containment

Easy, as to your speculations that the Administration is somewhat less than zealous about preventing Iran from acquiring the bomb, see this post by Jamie Fly.

Instead of welcoming Congressional "hotlining" of a sanctions bill, the Obami held up passage while negotiating provisions to water it down. Mr. Fly concludes that this "raises questions about how serious they and their "partners" are about stopping Iran's progress toward a nuclear weapon."

Questions, indeed, along with some pretty clear answers.


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Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Iranian Containment without a Container

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton forthrightly admitted yesterday that the Administration's Iranian policy of the last year is a failure. She stated, "I don't think anyone can doubt that our outreach has produced very little in terms of any kind of a positive response from the Iranians."

Commentary's Jennifer Rubin points out that this means "the entire process has been delayed for yet another year as the Iranians inch forward to the day when they will declare themselves a nuclear power," and speculates that soon "we will hear that "containment" is really the only option left." She then concludes, "One wonders if that wasn't the end game all along."

I don't think she needs to wonder too hard about that. This Administration had a well-developed containment strategy for a nuclear armed Iran at least as long ago as July of this year, as Ms. Secretary Clinton let slip here.  Apparently, from half a world away, the U.S. nuclear umbrella will prevent Iran from intimidating or dominating the region. 

Ms. Clinton's remarkable strategic theory depends, of course, on the Mad Mullahs of Iran behaving like the risk-averse Commissars of Russia in the face of our nuclear deterrence. More to the point, it depends on those same Mullahs being convinced that this Administration has the cojones to actually visit nuclear annihilation on Iran.

Given the Administration's well-nigh sycophantic pleading and hollow threats of sanctions over the last year, I don't think the Mullahs will be shaking in their qabaas when their nuclear missiles go online.


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Monday, December 14, 2009

Chicago is as Chicago Does

Here is the situation. You are the President, and you have seen in your first year the failure or near failure of three signature reforms, National Healthcare, Cap and Trade, and Stimulus. Your poll numbers among Independents are plummeting, and your base is deserting you like rats on a sinking ship.

You decide you can salvage something of your first year by passing what would seem to be a popular reform: a brand new, of-the-people and for-the-people bureaucracy, the Consumer Financial Protection Agency. Critical to your success, of course, is getting the financial services industry on your side in the coming political debate.

What do you do? How about a pre-emptive strike against bank executives, by going on 60 minutes last night and calling them "fat cats?" Then, in case they don't quite get the message, why don't you up the ante with a broadside accusing them of being ungrateful for the help America gave them last year? And finally, be sure and accuse them, erroneously, of flooding Washington with lobbyists to block regulatory reform.

This is not how to win friends and influence people. This is what political science wonks call "demagoguery." It is apparently the only way the Obami know how to govern, which explains a great deal about this worst of years for a newly installed President.

As I said here, these people are just not very smart about national politics, primarily because, as Whit said here, they are so parochial. The Obami think "the customs of a political backwater like Chicago are universal truths."


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Saturday, December 12, 2009

Re: Greens Go Nuclear

Hmmmm.  "The Mercurial Pundit: News Before it's News"

Not bad, Easy. But, how about this?

     THE MERCURIAL PUNDIT:
 All the News Before it's Fit to Print

I know, I know, too glib. Since it's the 21st Century, maybe we could try: 

                        THE MERCURIAL PUNDIT:
                    You're Wormhole to News of the Future

Too much? Then perhaps we could surprise them with the truth:

                Information overload? Then you should read
    THE MERCURIAL PUNDIT:
Some of the News, Some of the Time

Let me know what you think. We'll get the tech boys on it right after they finish their breakfast pizza.


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Palin and Shatner, Together at Last

Conan O'Brien of Tonight Show fame took it to Sarah Palin in July of this year, when he had William Shatner, the "Master Thespian," do a mock poetic reading of her speech resigning as Governor of Alaska.

Last night Conan showed there was nothing personal about it. Leading the audience to believe he was repeating the smack down, he brought William Shatner out again to gravely read excerpts from her autobiography, Going Rogue. When Mr. Shatner finished, however, who should appear on stage but Sarah Palin herself, who then delivered choice excerpts from Bill Shatner's own autobiography.

She pulled it off with just the right touch of charm, mischief, and good humor. The audience roared as she and Bill Shatner walked off, stage right, arm in arm.

The lady is a professional at everything she does. Watch the video.


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Friday, December 11, 2009

Greens Go Nuclear

It's almost an Internet truism that if you want to be ahead of the curve in politics and culture, read The Mercurial Pundit. Here's one example.

The Washington Post gave us surprising news the end of last month:

Nuclear power -- long considered environmentally hazardous -- is emerging as perhaps the world's most unlikely weapon against climate change, with the backing of even some green activists who once campaigned against it.
Nice reporting of an important story, which I am sure came through the Post editors' clenched teeth.

Now let's get into the way-back machine, and go to April of 2007, when we opined:
An interesting possible consequence of the Global Warming movement/fiasco: massive numbers of political activists who might switch their long-standing opposition to nuclear power.
The numbers may not be massive just yet, but give it time, give it time. Truth is hard to ignore, even for the most dedicated radical.

In the meantime, read The Mercurial Pundit, where you get the News before it's News.


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Thursday, December 10, 2009

Greed is Not So Good

Matthew Continetti steers us to a fascinating treatise on Capitalism by the eminent Jeffrey Friedman, which argues, in part, that the popular interpretation of Capitalism's dependence on self-interest and greed is wrong. Mr. Continetti quotes Dr. Friedman:

UCLA economist Armen Alchian showed in 1950 that capitalism would succeed even if capitalists weren't motivated by self-interest—and many capitalists, such as the founders of Google and Whole Foods, were not motivated by self-interest ... Smith's parable of the baker, to whose benevolence we do not appeal when we buy our bread, is actually a lesson in unintended consequences, not in the wonders of greed ... The baker intends to make money, but he can do so only by providing his customers with bread ... that doesn't mean that greed is always good, or benevolence bad. Nor does it mean that greed accounts for the success of capitalism.
I have a few quibbles with Dr. Friedman. For instance, benefiting buyers is not an unintended consequence of the baker's actions; it is a necessary condition to selling bread, without which no baker would stay in business long.

But, by and large, I think Dr. Friedman is correct. In the first place, Capitalism does not have some corner on greed. Socialists can be greedy, as can Popes, Saints, and social workers. Greed is a common human emotion, and Capitalists, as human beings, can sometimes be greedy. But Capitalists also run the gamut of other human motivations as well: sense of excellence, envy, charity, benevolence, anger, pride, sloth, kindness, and love.

Which is to say that greed is a very poor explanation of why Capitalists do what they do. But it is also a very poor explanation of what Capitalists do. "Making money" is a mere slogan, and tells us as much about Capitalism as it does about Art and the artists that produce such works. Certainly, artists work and expect payment, but that is an aspect of their work, not the substance.

In its simplest sense, Capitalism is freedom, the freedom of letting people do what they deem important. As such, what a Capitalist does is as many and varied as there are objects or goals in the world. But, in all this variety, Capitalists have one common characteristic: a singular commitment to an individual ethic of self-responsibility.

Continue .....
Whatever he has and is trying to accomplish, a Capitalist takes personal responsibility for the process, looks to himself to make sure that his part gets done properly. Self-responsibility is not self-interest; it is more akin to Christian Stewardship than anything else.

It is true that economics and accounting play a large role in what a Capitalist does, but that is a function of the Enlightenment revelation that the economy and businesses follow certain very defined laws of behavior.  Profit and Loss is not an ideology or a way of living, it is a scientific fact, and anybody that tries to get along in the world without some modicum of knowledge of the subject will fail miserably. This includes Christians, Marxists, Communists, butchers, bakers, and welfare recipients. Capitalists, as self-responsible players, are simply being appropriately hard-headed about the reality of the world.

The benefits of Capitalism derives from this principle of self-responsibility, and points us to why other systems just do not work as well. As the famous parable about making a pencil tells us, the simplest economic transactions involve hugely complex decisions made by hundreds of thousands of disparate people all across the world.  Few of the people involved in the making of a pencil knows much of anything about any of the others, nor do they seek such knowledge. In the making of a pencil, each person is concerned with his own job, with what he puts into the process. Lumberjacks cut trees; truck drivers transport the wood; miners on the other side of the world dig graphite; manufacturers invest millions in machinery to cut the wood; and etc. One person, or even a committee of people, simply cannot have the huge range of knowledge, expertise, and physical ability to do all of the work that needs to be done to make a pencil.

Capitalism is what makes this process work, as each little part of the process is given the attention and expertise needed by individuals and groups taking responsibility for what it is that they need to do.

Despite appearances, the most hierarchical organizations invented by Man, whether a Catholic Church, a Communist dictatorship, a multi-billion dollar corporation, or an Army, depend for their success on subordinates taking responsibility for their work and providing what no executive class can: knowledge about what is actually occurring on the ground, and the creative response to that information that will enable the group's goals to be achieved.

Capitalism incorporates this wisdom explicitly and transparently into what it does. Non-capitalist organizations tend to bury this wisdom in ideology or ignorance, and as a result, achieve their goals and purposes inconsistently, if at all. And when they do achieve anything, it is more often accompanied by inefficiencies and a sickening waste of its best resources: its people.


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Wednesday, December 9, 2009

We're Dealing!

Pick a deal, any deal, seems to be Harry Reid's panicked strategy to get 60 votes in the Senate for National Healthcare.

Is this any way to legislate 1/6th of the American economy?  Makes one long for the days when Congress was denigrated as a "sausage factory." These bozos can't even make half decent sausage anymore.


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Monday, December 7, 2009

Climate Cools as Flackery Heats Up

The PR flacks are out in force today, drumming up business for the Copenhagen World Climate Conference.  Unfortunately, this piece of puffery and used-car salesman type hype was published by the Asssociated Press, ostensibly a news source. 

The errors and misrepresentations are too numerous to go through, but here are a couple of highlights.

Arctic polar ice caps melting?  A good point, if there was only one polar ice cap.  What's going on down south? Antarctic ice is growing.

The 2000's were 1.1 degree hotter than average global temperatures from 1951-1980? Well, according to the IPCC 2007 Climate Report, 1950 was significantly cooler than the previous year, reducing significantly the average of the series from 1951 onward. This is classic cherry-picking. If you use the average of thirty year temperatures from 1940-1970, our decade shows an increase of only .18 degrees; 1960-1990, the temperature increase is only .1 degree; and  from 1970-2000 ... oops! a .088 degree decrease in temperature.

This approach by the AP is now famously called "hiding the decline." Temperatures have been decreasing the last decade, in violation of every climate change computer model, to the great consternation of the vast grant-receiving bureacracy of "scientists" around the globe.

AP needs to start charging for its PR flackery. It certainly does not have much of a future as a news organization.


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Saturday, December 5, 2009

The Roundup

At the risk of introducing noise into Archie's Internet Test, here is the Roundup for today:

The estimable Mark Steyn's regular Saturday contribution is up. Read and enjoy as Mr. Steyn slices and dices the President's unrealistic realism.

Jennifer Rubin gives us Sen. Joe Lieberman as the indispensable Senator. Her case is air-tight, and brooks no argument from this corner.

Charles Krauthammer weighs in on the Administration's claim of executive privilege in refusing to allow the White House Social Secretary, Desiree Rogers, to testify to Congress regarding the recent gate-crashing of the Obami's Thanksgiving Party. The Doctor states:

What is comical about this is it’s being invoked for a social secretary in a circumstance where, in the original Supreme Court rulings, it was intended for high officials with important state secrets. What was the state secret here — the nature of the flower arrangements at the head table?
Of course, as everyone knows, the "state secret" is that Desiree Rogers was promoting the primary agenda of this Administration, which is to maximize White House prestige in service of political back-scratching (hint, hint: follow the money). Someone might want to check on the Lincoln Bedroom; it looks like Hotel White House might be open for business again soon.

Matthew Vadum raises alarm bells with his report on the formation and agenda of the George Soros backed Secretary of State Project. This is actually old news. In the wake of Al Gore's loss of the 2000 Florida Presidential recount, the Left convinced itself that Republican Secretaries of State were rigging elections nationwide. Not to be outdone, numerous Lefty PAC's and coalitions began in the early 2000's to focus on seizing control for themselves of State election machinery. Their most notable success was the 2006 election of Mark Ritchie as Secretary of State in Minnesota, who enabled Al Franken to win a very questionable (to put it mildly) recount in the 2008 Senatorial contest. Old news or not, that the Left is redoubling its efforts to elect Secretaries of State ought to be seriously troubling to anyone who cares about free and fair elections in this country. Read Matthew Vadum.

(G. Whitman contributed to this blog. Chas. Ransom, the other old guy, was taking a nap and did not contribute).


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An Internet Test

Do not be alarmed.  This is only a test.

BARE BREASTED WOMEN!!

PICTURES TO FOLLOW!!

This has been a test of this blog's Internet profile. If this announcement had been real, you would now be looking at pictures of bare breasted women instead of this cool, calm, and collected prose.

In the following days, the Web Geeks in the basement will be perusing our Google Analytics report to determine what impact, if any, this test has had on blog hits. For those of you that may be interested in the technical details, the Geeks will be using the last 48 hours of posts as a baseline, wherein three old guys battled it out tooth and gum over Obama's War. 

The prevailing hypothesis is that Internet America really likes three old guys with, collectively, four teeth, and some inexpensive (read: cheap) bridgework, and that there will be little difference in hits due to this test. I on the other hand differ, and am willing to back it up with hard cash at 10-1 odds.

This should be interesting. Or, if not, it should be something. And if not something, its at least another day.

So stay tuned!


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Friday, December 4, 2009

Re: At the Summit of Jobs

Sounds like a cousin, Ellie, possibly one of Siegfried Metternich's boys. You and the cows have nothing to worry about for about three years; we Yeats are late bloomers.


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Re: At the Summit of Jobs

Don't mind Archie, Ezra, it's the medications. They don't kick in until 9:00 AM or so.

As for the fascinating story about the Yeats' impressive contributions to American culture, do you have any family in these parts? I ask because lately there has been a brownish hued little 12 year old boy hanging around the pasture eying the bovines.

Should we be afraid?


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Re: Obama's War

Correctamundo, Ezra!  Cheers!


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Re: At the Summit of Jobs

Archie, have you gone crazy? "... human personification and instantiation ... random agglomeration of protein molecules?" Not to mention " ... like greased really fast things!" What are you talking about? How am I supposed to edit stuff like this?

A personal note: I will let Whit and Chase speak for themselves, but I do not take testosterone injections. The Yeats clan has no need for such things. The United States is almost the sole 1st world country whose population is growing, and most agree that the primary causes are Yeats males, with enthusiastic support, of course, from wives and close personal friends, as well as various and sundry one-night stands.


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Re: Obama's War

Well, Chaz, Churchill was in Chamberlain's own party. It would have been difficult to refuse the appointment to the Admiralty under the circumstances.

I don't think you, Whit, and I are in that much disagreement. It's a matter of emphasis. I will certainly support President Obama's troop surge, on both strategic and patriotic grounds. But support should not mean glossing over any detrimental features of the President's execution of the war-plan, like his tendency to put a political spin on his strategy which in fact undermines American and World support for the war.

In retrospect, I think we all fell too much into defending George Bush in Iraq over the last eight years, and did not critique him enough when he deserved it. That he was under savage, ill-considered political attacks from the Left is no excuse. If we had been more forthright in criticizing Bush, I think he might have gotten the right Iraq strategy years before he did.

I take you to be saying that we should not let our critiques of Obama overwhelm our support and devolve into partisan political sniping. On that we can all agree; such things are inappropriate in war-time.

Click here for all posts in this thread.


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At the Summit of Jobs

For those of us who are not interested in following a knock-down, drag-out, sucker-punching, cage-style debate on Obama's War between three  old guys pumped up on caffeine, testosterone injections, and nostalgia, the White House Jobs Summit that began yesterday is what's really happening.

Summits on the nation's employment, or lack thereof, have not been very productive in the past. But that is because Jobs themselves have never been willing to put down their work and participate. Instead, human beings attend on Jobs' behalf, and these meetings inevitably bog down due to the inherent slowness of organic chemical processes and the essential irrationality of anything that takes its  marching orders from a random agglomeration of protein molecules.

The notion that Jobs alone, bereft of human personification or instantiation, might actually be willing to get together to discuss things, is the kind of outside-the-box thinking this Administration has always talked about, but no one believed possible. But Obama declared, "Yes, We Can!" and Jobs of all types and stripes streamed along the highways and byways of America to the Summit, lighting up Washington yesterday like a three-ring circus on steroids.

As economists have pointed out in both the peer reviewed literature and the literature read mainly on piers, Jobs react almost instantaneously to changes in the economy.  Your distribution network at capacity? Zip! Truck driver Jobs jump up as if goosed by a cold handed proctologist.  Professional hockey suddenly more popular than adult circumcision?  Zap! Zamboni servicing Jobs to the rescue faster than the Flash on upppers.  Obama's poll numbers blasting past 90% approval? Zowey! Rev. Wright collection plate Jobs race forward like greased ... Uhrm .... uh ... like greased really fast things.

Continue .....
In the real world, the only thing holding back Jobs on doing what they do best is the interminable wait while carbon based life-forms finish their Fantasy League season.

As near as I can tell, the Jobs Summit has started off without incident, which is encouraging given that not all Jobs get along with each other. There is an historic tension between Management and Labor Jobs, of course, but little noted has been the animosity between Nurse and Doctor-Spouse Jobs. There is also a certain professional envy between Dentist and Gitmo Torturer Jobs, and a vast cultural divide separating the religiously fundamental Amway Sales Jobs from all other Jobs, humans, animal, vegetable, and mineral in existence.

The last Summit of this magnitude involving Jobs did not begin well. In 1999, the negotiations of a labor dispute with the miners of Trion ore on Dregocia was seriously imperiled when a shuttle carrying Dregocian Diplomats exploded amidst suspicions of sabotage. That crisis was resolved within an hour (for better or worse, I will let the historians decide). But the lesson we learned then is equally applicable now: "Only with the realization that what we share with our enemy is greater than what divides us, can peace ever be won."

President Obama couldn't have said it better. Well, he might have, or maybe he did, but in any event I never heard it.  And that's the important thing.


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Re: Obama's War

Well, Whit, you bring up a nice point.  Let's review the situation in Britain in 1939. When Parliament declared war on Germany, Chamberlain asked both opposition parties, Liberal and Labor, to join his government. They refused.  But what did his biggest critic Winston Churchill do? He accepted appointment to the Prime Ministers Cabinet as First Lord of the Admiralty.

In other words, Winston Churchill supported and encouraged Chamberlain, in an effort, no doubt, to stiffen the spine of the Government at a time when Britain was in such peril.

We should do no less. After all, history tells us there may not be many opportunities to reward Democrats for right behavior in foreign policy matters.


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Re: Obama's War

Chase, since Easy invoked Winston Churchill in a comparison with President Obama, it might also be instructive to look at the Prime Minister preceding Churchill, Neville Chamberlain. Known as the Great Appeaser, Chamberlain nevertheless far surpassed President Obama in forthright military action. After all, he led England to declare war on Germany and sent hundreds of thousands of British troops to the Continent to defend France -- just in time, of course, for Dunkirk.

So, everyone should have "supported and encouraged" Chamberlain because he was more of a hawk than the rest of the appeasers? I don't think so. War-time leadership is or ought to be evaluated on an objective standard.

And objectively, President Obama has gone to war in Afghanistan without conviction, other than the sordid political conviction he will lose public support if Afghanistan - and Pakistan - fall into the bloody hands of Islamic terrorist.


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Thursday, December 3, 2009

Re: Obama's War

I don't mean to pick on you Ezra, but I and many commentators on the right have a different take on the President's speech.

I think you must begin from the standpoint that the President is a man of the left, heir to the extremist anti-war McGovern wing of the Democrat Party. As such, his decision to ramp up the American commitment to Afghanistan is a bold step away from the defeatist war-politics of the Democrat Party over the last 40 years. As some have noted, this is the first Democrat Administration to send American troops into combat for the explicit purpose of defending America and furthering global foreign policy interests since Lyndon Johnson.*

No one would describe President Obama as a neo-conservative, but this is most certainly a welcome change in the long-term downward spiral of Democrat leadership as a responsible voice in foreign affairs. As such, President Obama needs to be supported and encouraged in this endeavor. In particular, we ought to cut him some slack for playing to his leftist base with timetables for withdrawal and the like. As Defense Secretary Gates and others in the Administration have made clear since the speech, those were rhetorical flourishes, not substantive Afghan policy deadlines.

*Please do not cite me Bill Clinton's humanitarian troop deployments and ineffectual, bellicose missile strikes. These were particularly unserious attempts at war, done more for triangulation political purposes than for any grown-up foreign policy rationale.


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Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Obama's War: A Surge to the Exits

In a major foreign policy speech last night, President Obama explained his Administration's decision to escalate the war in Afghanistan with 30,000 more American troops. Remarkably, he was able to do so without once using the word "victory." Although I am not given to quoting Vice-President Biden on any subject outside of hair-replacements and baseball, he aptly summed up the President's speech this morning as outlining a "Surge and Exit" strategy.

With emphasis, I might add, on the "Exit." After three months of intense study and debate within his Administration, the best the President could come up with to describe his Afghanistan policy was as follows:

... as Commander-in-Chief, I have determined that it is in our vital national interest to send an additional 30,000 U.S. troops to Afghanistan. After 18 months, our troops will begin to come home.
For contrast, let's see what another newly installed leader said, in the face of a much darker moment in his nation's history. In May of 1940, with French and British forces teetering under the Nazi Blitzkrieg in France, Winston Churchill, appointed Prime Minister just days before, appears before the House of Commons and is asked what his Government's war policy will be. He says,
You ask, what is our policy? I can say: It is to wage war, by sea, land and air, with all our might and with all the strength that God can give us: to wage war against a monstrous tyranny, never surpassed in the dark, lamentable catalogue of human crime. That is our policy. You ask, what is our aim? I can answer in one word: It is victory, victory at all costs, victory in spite of all terror, victory, however long and hard the road may be ...
Churchill's is the language of war-time leadership; Obama's the language of pre-meditated defeat. Faced with the clear and present threat of Taliban terror, it's hard to imagine why the Afghan peoples will choose to side with us, when the American Commander-in-Chief manifests such diffident ambivalence about this war.

This is now Obama's war, to lead where he will. And he is leading, it seems, a surge to the exits.


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Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Back to the Future

In perusing some of the latest poll results, it strikes me that the decline and fall of the Republicans is easily explained. Republicans lost their most basic rationale: promoting fiscally prudent government and a sound economy.

For most of my adult life, the most common theme in politics was the Republican attack against Democrats as "Tax and Spend Liberals." The charge stuck, for the simple reason that Democrats were, in fact, Liberal tax and spenders. It stuck so well that Democrats have all but dropped the Liberal label in favor of "Progressive."

Over the years, however, the Tax and Spend charge lost its effectiveness. There were many different reasons. One important factor was the masterful triangulation of Bill Clinton's Presidency, which muddied the political waters. But more significant was the Republican take-over of Congress in 1994, ending 40 years of continuous Democrat dominance. Since then, an entire generation of voters has grown up without any experience of real, unrestrained Democrat governance, while older generations lost interest in the subject. As a result, the Tax and Spend charge became all but anachronistic, a shop-worn political cliche from an older politics that seemed no longer relevant.

The Bush Presidency exacerbated these trends of muddiness and forgetfulness. Bush's signature "Compassionate Conservatism" meme served over time to identify Republicans in the public mind with bigger Washington government and deficit spending. At the same time, the Democrats pounded away on the rhetorical front, beating the drums for fiscal prudence and responsibility in order to rectify a failed economy. The fact that they obstinately opposed any measures to rescue Social Security and Medicare from bankruptcy meant very little; as the party out of power, their disingenuous opportunism was little noted.

The net result, then, by the end of the Bush Presidency was a reversal of the parties' historic positions in the public's mind: Republicans were now inside the beltway plutocrats, pockets bulging with earmarks and disdainful of the economic consequences of their profligacy, while Democrats became lone voices in the wilderness pleading for fiscal responsibility.

Ten months into the Obama Presidency and this decades long re-labeling of the parties has suddenly reversed course.

Continue .....
A recent Democracy Corps survey finds that Republicans have climbed back into parity with Democrats as the party better able to run the economy, recovering a whopping 16 point deficit on the issue since May. Democrats may take some comfort in the fact that they are still viewed positively on the issue by 50% of the voters, but I think they are mistaken. The Republican's 16 point jump is only a freeze-frame of a rising trend, wherein the voters are being reminded and awakened to old political truths: that the Democrats are Tax and Spend Liberals whose policies are devastating for an economy.

It's really quite marvelous to watch, actually. Cultural memory is real; it can be hidden or suppressed for a while, but long term trends in the body politic will erupt upon any crack in the surface. And the Democrats, with their trillion dollar deficits, proposals to construct massive clanking government machinery like National Healthcare and Cap and Trade, and their utter cluelessness about the connection between these and a faltering economy, have set off a bomb at the very fault lines of American politics. The resulting earthquake, estimated to occur in November of 2010, looks to be a doozy.

Republicans should dust off their old yard signs. "Tax and Spend Liberals" is a political slogan that is back in vogue.

With a vengeance.


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